Union La Calera 38%Draw 30%A. Italiano 32%Expected goals 1.02 – 0.83
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓38% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.77
Union La Calera vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
A. Italiano travel to face Union La Calera on Saturday 28 February in the Primera División, with Municipal Nicolas Chahuan the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Union La Calera are 16th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 27 matches; A. Italiano are 13th (lower half) with 30.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.0 xG, A. Italiano 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 38%, draw 30%, A. Italiano 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–0 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union La Calera38%fair 2.64 · @2.60
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.90
A. Italiano32%fair 3.12 · @2.76
1.84Expected goals
1.02Union La Calera xG
0.83A. Italiano xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.0 – 0.8 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union La Calera to win✓
38%
2.64
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.95
Draw no bet
Union La Calera (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
A. Italiano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Union La Calera to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.77
–
Recent results
Union La Calera – last 2
LL
20 Feb
vs Nublense
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Colo Colo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
A. Italiano – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Everton de Vina
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nublense
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and A. Italiano.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs A. Italiano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Union La Calera vs A. Italiano?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and A. Italiano 32%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs A. Italiano?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs A. Italiano?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs A. Italiano?
Union La Calera vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
