Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Coquimbo Unido to win @ 1.94 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win55% · @1.94
Double chanceCoquimbo Unido or draw81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.75
Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nublense travel to face Coquimbo Unido on Sunday 19 April in the Primera División – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Coquimbo Unido are 6th, upper half, on 38 points after 26 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coquimbo Unido, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Universitario, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Nublense, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Everton de Vina, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coquimbo Unido 1.6 xG, Nublense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coquimbo Unido 55%, draw 27%, Nublense 19%.
Lower-risk option: Coquimbo Unido or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Coquimbo Unido to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Coquimbo Unido or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coquimbo Unido55%fair 1.83 · @1.94
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
Nublense19%fair 5.32 · @3.85
2.41Expected goals
1.60Coquimbo Unido xG
0.80Nublense xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–012%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.6 – 0.8 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coquimbo Unido to win
55%
1.83
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Coquimbo Unido or draw
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.93
Draw no bet
Coquimbo Unido (draw no bet)
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Nublense +1.5 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Coquimbo Unido to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Coquimbo Unido – last 5
WDWWL
15 Apr
@ Universitario
2–0
W
8 Apr
vs Club Nacional
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Concepción
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Huachipato
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ U. Catolica
1–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coquimbo Unido and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
Our pick is Coquimbo Unido or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nublense 19%.
How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense?
Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
