Wednesday 11 November 2026 19 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Everton de Vina v A. Italiano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio Sausalito
1–1
FT
Everton de Vina 55%Draw 23%A. Italiano 22% Expected goals 1.67 – 0.93
78%
Betarazi pick

Everton de Vina or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Everton de Vina to win @ 1.94 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEverton de Vina to win ✗55% · @1.94
Double chanceEverton de Vina or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39

Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

A. Italiano travel to face Everton de Vina on Sunday 16 August in the Primera División, with Estadio Sausalito the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Everton de Vina are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 27 matches; A. Italiano are 13th (lower half) with 30.

Current form

Everton de Vina, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Huachipato, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

A. Italiano, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nublense, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended A. Italiano 1–0 Everton de Vina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Everton de Vina 1.7 xG, A. Italiano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Everton de Vina 55%, draw 23%, A. Italiano 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Everton de Vina or draw (78%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Everton de Vina to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Everton de Vina or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton de Vina 1–0 A. Italiano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Everton de Vina55%fair 1.81 · @1.94
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
A. Italiano22%fair 4.65 · @3.55
2.59Expected goals
1.67Everton de Vina xG
0.93A. Italiano xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Everton de Vina 1.7 – 0.9 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEverton de Vina to win ✗55%1.811.94 ▲
Double chanceEverton de Vina or draw ✓78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.73
Draw no betEverton de Vina (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapA. Italiano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreEverton de Vina to score first ✗59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Everton de Vina / FT Everton de Vina ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.39–

Recent results

Everton de Vina – last 6

WLDWDL
8 Aug@ Huachipato4–1W
1 Augvs Colo Colo3–4L
28 Jul@ Union La Calera1–1D
11 Jul@ Deportes Copiapo1–0W
4 Jul@ San Luis2–2D
1 Jul@ U. Catolica1–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

A. Italiano – last 6

DWLWLW
11 Augvs Nublense2–2D
1 Aug@ Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
26 Julvs Universidad de Chile1–2L
11 Jul@ Magallanes1–0W
5 Jul@ Deportes Santa Cruz1–2L
30 Junvs Palestino3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026A. Italiano v Everton de Vina1–0
Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano?

Our pick is Everton de Vina or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano?

On our numbers Everton de Vina have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and A. Italiano 22%.

How many goals will there be in Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano?

Our predicted score is Everton de Vina 1–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano?

Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sausalito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.