Value bet: Nublense to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNublense to win ✓65% · @1.75
Double chanceNublense or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.59
Nublense vs Union La Calera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union La Calera travel to face Nublense on Sunday 16 August in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Nublense are 10th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; Union La Calera are 16th (in the drop zone) with 24.
Current form
Nublense, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with A. Italiano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Union La Calera, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Colo Colo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nublense, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Union La Calera.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Union La Calera 0–1 Nublense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nublense 1.9 xG, Union La Calera 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nublense 65%, draw 23%, Union La Calera 12%.
Lower-risk option: Nublense or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Nublense to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nublense 1–0 Union La Calera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nublense65%fair 1.54 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.45
Union La Calera12%fair 8.23 · @4.40
2.63Expected goals
1.91Nublense xG
0.71Union La Calera xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.9 – 0.7 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Nublense vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers Nublense have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union La Calera 12%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Union La Calera?
Nublense vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
