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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

D. La Serena v Nublense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio La Portada
2–1
FT
D. La Serena 39%Draw 23%Nublense 38% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.39
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultD. La Serena to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.85

D. La Serena vs Nublense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nublense travel to face D. La Serena on Sunday 6 September in the Primera División, with Estadio La Portada the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, D. La Serena are 9th, lower half, on 37 points after 27 matches; Nublense are 10th (lower half) with 35. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

D. La Serena, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Union La Calera, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Nublense, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportes Limache, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended Nublense 2–2 D. La Serena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give D. La Serena 1.4 xG, Nublense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – D. La Serena 39%, draw 23%, Nublense 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. La Serena 1–1 Nublense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

D. La Serena39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Nublense38%fair 2.64 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.42D. La Serena xG
1.39Nublense xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.4 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultD. La Serena to win ✓39%2.552.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.70
Draw no betD. La Serena (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapNublense +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreD. La Serena to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT D. La Serena / FT D. La Serena ✗22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.85–

Recent results

D. La Serena – last 6

WDWDLD
31 Aug@ Union La Calera1–0W
23 Augvs Cobresal3–3D
15 Aug@ Universidad de Concepcion2–0W
8 Aug@ Coquimbo Unido1–1D
2 Augvs O'Higgins1–2L
26 Jul@ U. Catolica3–3D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nublense – last 6

LLWWDW
3 Sep@ Deportes Limache0–2L
30 Augvs Concepción0–1L
23 Aug@ U. Catolica2–1W
16 Augvs Union La Calera2–1W
11 Aug@ A. Italiano2–2D
5 Augvs Rangers de Talca1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Mar 2026Nublense v D. La Serena2–2
D. La Serena vs Nublense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Nublense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win D. La Serena vs Nublense?

On our numbers D. La Serena have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nublense 38%.

How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Nublense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Nublense?

Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is D. La Serena vs Nublense?

D. La Serena vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.