Universidad de Chile 61%Draw 24%Coquimbo Unido 14%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.67
86%
Betarazi pick
Universidad de Chile or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Universidad de Chile to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓61% · @1.85
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Primera División brings Universidad de Chile against Coquimbo Unido. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Universidad de Chile are 2nd, among the top four, on 51 points after 27 matches; Coquimbo Unido are 6th (upper half) with 38. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Universidad de Chile, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Universidad de Concepcion, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Coquimbo Unido, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Universidad de Concepcion, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Universidad de Chile, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Coquimbo Unido.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad de Chile 1.7 xG, Coquimbo Unido 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad de Chile 61%, draw 24%, Coquimbo Unido 14%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad de Chile or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Universidad de Chile to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Universidad de Chile or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad de Chile 1–0 Coquimbo Unido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad de Chile61%fair 1.63 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.40
Coquimbo Unido14%fair 7.03 · @3.50
2.34Expected goals
1.67Universidad de Chile xG
0.67Coquimbo Unido xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Universidad de Chile 1.7 – 0.7 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✓
61%
1.63
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Universidad de Chile (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Universidad de Chile -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Universidad de Chile to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Universidad de Chile – last 6
LLWWWW
30 Aug
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Colo Colo
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Deportes Limache
3–1
W
10 Aug
vs Palestino
2–1
W
5 Aug
@ Union San Felipe
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs Huachipato
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Coquimbo Unido – last 6
WLDDDD
2 Sep
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–0
W
26 Aug
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ Concepción
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Platense
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Platense
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs D. La Serena
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Chile and Coquimbo Unido.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Universidad de Chile or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers Universidad de Chile have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Coquimbo Unido 14%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Chile 1–0 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido?
Universidad de Chile vs Coquimbo Unido (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
