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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

D. La Serena v Palestino: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Estadio La Portada
1–0
FT
D. La Serena 35%Draw 22%Palestino 43% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.57
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Palestino to win @ 2.45 – our chance 43% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPalestino to win ✗43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25

D. La Serena vs Palestino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Primera División brings D. La Serena against Palestino at Estadio La Portada. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, D. La Serena are 9th, lower half, on 37 points after 27 matches; Palestino are 7th (upper half) with 38. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

D. La Serena, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Huachipato, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Palestino, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Concepción, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 May 2026) it ended Palestino 5–1 D. La Serena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give D. La Serena 1.4 xG, Palestino 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – D. La Serena 35%, draw 22%, Palestino 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Palestino to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: D. La Serena 1–1 Palestino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

D. La Serena35%fair 2.84 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Palestino43%fair 2.31 · @2.45
2.96Expected goals
1.39D. La Serena xG
1.57Palestino xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.6 Palestino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPalestino to win ✗43%2.312.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.57
Draw no betPalestino (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapD. La Serena +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.271.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.221.17
First team to scorePalestino to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Palestino / FT Palestino ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.25–

Recent results

D. La Serena – last 6

DWLLWW
1 Nov@ Huachipato0–0D
24 Octvs Concepción3–1W
11 Oct@ Everton de Vina2–3L
13 Sepvs Universidad de Chile0–3L
6 Sepvs Nublense2–1W
31 Aug@ Union La Calera1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Palestino – last 6

LDDWLW
3 Nov@ Concepción0–1L
25 Octvs Colo Colo1–1D
12 Oct@ Deportes Limache2–2D
1 Oct@ Alianza Lima2–1W
13 Sepvs U. Catolica2–3L
6 Sepvs Universidad de Concepcion2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 May 2026Palestino v D. La Serena5–1
D. La Serena vs Palestino head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Palestino?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win D. La Serena vs Palestino?

On our numbers D. La Serena have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palestino 43%.

How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Palestino?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Palestino?

Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Palestino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is D. La Serena vs Palestino?

D. La Serena vs Palestino (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.