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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union La Calera v Huachipato: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Chile · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
1–0
FT
Union La Calera 45%Draw 21%Huachipato 34% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.24
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Huachipato to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultUnion La Calera to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

Union La Calera vs Huachipato: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Primera División brings Union La Calera against Huachipato at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Union La Calera are 16th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 27 matches; Huachipato are 11th (lower half) with 33.

Current form

Union La Calera, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Huachipato, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with D. La Serena, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Huachipato, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Union La Calera.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Huachipato 3–1 Union La Calera.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union La Calera 1.5 xG, Huachipato 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union La Calera 45%, draw 21%, Huachipato 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Huachipato to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union La Calera 1–1 Huachipato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union La Calera45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.60
Huachipato34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.73Expected goals
1.48Union La Calera xG
1.24Huachipato xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.5 – 1.2 Huachipato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUnion La Calera to win ✓45%2.222.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betUnion La Calera (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapHuachipato +1 (Asian handicap)73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.12
First team to scoreUnion La Calera to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera ✓25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

Union La Calera – last 6

LLWDDD
4 Novvs Coquimbo Unido0–2L
30 Oct@ Coquimbo Unido0–1L
25 Octvs U. Catolica3–1W
11 Oct@ Concepción1–1D
27 Sep@ U. Catolica0–0D
24 Sepvs U. Catolica1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Huachipato – last 6

DDWWWD
1 Novvs D. La Serena0–0D
24 Oct@ A. Italiano1–1D
10 Octvs O'Higgins2–0W
3 Oct@ Universidad de Concepcion2–0W
16 Sep@ Coquimbo Unido1–0W
6 Sepvs Colo Colo0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Huachipato v Union La Calera3–1
Union La Calera vs Huachipato head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

On our numbers Union La Calera have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Huachipato 34%.

How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 Huachipato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Union La Calera vs Huachipato?

Union La Calera vs Huachipato (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.