Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗38% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Primera A brings Llaneros against Independiente Medellin at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”. Kick-off: 00:20 WAT. In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Independiente Medellin are 6th (upper half) with 29.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.2 xG, Independiente Medellin 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 35%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 38%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–1 Independiente Medellin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llaneros35%fair 2.83 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.00
Independiente Medellin38%fair 2.65 · @2.37
2.42Expected goals
1.23Llaneros xG
1.20Independiente Medellin xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Llaneros 1.2 – 1.2 Independiente Medellin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Llaneros
Independiente Medellin
Attack vs Primera A average
-8%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.27
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✗
38%
2.65
2.37
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Medellin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.52
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Llaneros to score first
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llaneros / FT Llaneros✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Llaneros
No recent results on record.
Independiente Medellin – last 2
WD
18 Feb
@ Liverpool Montevideo
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llaneros and Independiente Medellin.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Independiente Medellin 38%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Independiente Medellin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin?
Llaneros vs Independiente Medellin (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
