Once Caldas 59%Draw 24%Fortaleza FC 17%Expected goals 1.63 – 0.72
83%
Betarazi pick
Once Caldas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOnce Caldas to win59% · @1.73
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.94
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Once Caldas welcome Fortaleza FC to Estadio Palogrande for a Primera A fixture on Saturday 21 February (20:00 WAT). In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Fortaleza FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.6 xG, Fortaleza FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 59%, draw 24%, Fortaleza FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Once Caldas or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Once Caldas or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–0 Fortaleza FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Once Caldas59%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Fortaleza FC17%fair 5.75 · @4.33
2.36Expected goals
1.63Once Caldas xG
0.72Fortaleza FC xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.6 – 0.7 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Once Caldas
Fortaleza FC
Attack vs Primera A average
-5%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.71
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win
59%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Once Caldas or draw
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Once Caldas (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Fortaleza FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
67%
1.49
1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Once Caldas to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Fortaleza FC – last 2
WL
16 Feb
vs Chico
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Fortaleza FC.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
Our pick is Once Caldas or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC?
Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
