Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Pereira to win ✗39% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.26
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Primera A brings Deportivo Pereira against Deportivo Pasto at Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pereira are 17th, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pereira 1.2 xG, Deportivo Pasto 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pereira 39%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 33%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pereira 1–1 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pereira39%fair 2.55 · @2.65
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @2.90
Deportivo Pasto33%fair 3.04 · @2.65
2.19Expected goals
1.24Deportivo Pereira xG
0.96Deportivo Pasto xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pereira 1.2 – 1.0 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pasto
Attack vs Primera A average
-20%
-29%
Goals conceded vs average
+19%
+22%
Our expected goals here
1.44
0.89
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pereira to win✗
39%
2.55
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.37
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Pereira (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Pasto +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Deportivo Pereira to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pereira / FT Deportivo Pereira✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.26
–
Recent results
Deportivo Pereira – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pasto – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Pasto.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Deportivo Pereira have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Pasto 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pereira 1–1 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
