Chico v Millonarios Prediction & Expected Goals (15 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✗53% · @1.80

Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✗80% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.15

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69

Chico vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:20 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Chico v Millonarios in the Primera A, played at Estadio La Independencia. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Chico, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Once Caldas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Millonarios, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cucuta, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Millonarios, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Chico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chico 0.9 xG, Millonarios 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 20%, draw 27%, Millonarios 53%.
Lower-risk option: Millonarios or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.99, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–1 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chico20%fair 5.02 · @4.60

Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.10

Millonarios53%fair 1.88 · @1.80

2.45Expected goals

0.87Chico xG

1.57Millonarios xG

50%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–112%

0–211%

1–29%

0–09%

1–08%

From our goals model: Chico 0.9 – 1.6 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Chico	Millonarios
Attack vs Primera A average	-30%	+17%
Goals conceded vs average	+21%	-19%
Our expected goals here	0.84	1.51

Chico

Millonarios

Attack vs Primera A average

-30%

+17%

Goals conceded vs average

+21%

-19%

Our expected goals here

0.84

1.51

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Millonarios to win ✗	53%	1.88	1.80
Double chance	Millonarios or draw ✗	80%	1.25	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	50%	1.99	2.15 ▲
Draw no bet	Millonarios (draw no bet) ✗	73%	1.37	–
Asian handicap	Chico +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Millonarios to score first ✗	59%	1.70	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✗	33%	3.07	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.69	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Millonarios to win ✗

53%

1.88

1.80

Double chance

Millonarios or draw ✗

80%

1.25

1.18

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

50%

1.99

2.15 ▲

Draw no bet

Millonarios (draw no bet) ✗

73%

1.37

–

Asian handicap

Chico +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

62%

1.62

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

70%

1.43

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

56%

1.79

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

77%

1.30

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

90%

1.11

–

First team to score

Millonarios to score first ✗

59%

1.70

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

44%

2.28

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✗

33%

3.07

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

10.69

–

Recent results

Head to head

Primera A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	-17	10

Team

Pts

+20

+10

+10

Internacional de Bogota

Deportivo Cali

Millonarios

Independiente Medellin

-5

-3

-5

-13

-14

-17

-13

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chico vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.

Who will win Chico vs Millonarios?

On our numbers Chico have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Millonarios 53%.

How many goals will there be in Chico vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chico vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Chico vs Millonarios?

Chico vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

28 Feb	@ Once Caldas	0–3	L
23 Feb	vs Águilas Doradas	0–1	L
16 Feb	@ Fortaleza FC	1–2	L

10 Mar	vs Cucuta	2–0	W
5 Mar	@ Atletico Nacional	3–1	W
27 Feb	vs Deportivo Pereira	5–1	W
22 Feb	@ Internacional de Bogota	2–3	L

Chico v Millonarios: numbers & prediction

Chico

Millonarios

Both teams to score

Picks by market

Chico vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Chico – last 3

Millonarios – last 4

Head to head

Primera A table

More Primera A predictions

Frequently asked questions