Santa Fe 64%Draw 22%Alianza Valledupar 14%Expected goals 1.95 – 0.73
64%
Betarazi pick
Santa Fe to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Primera A brings Santa Fe against Alianza Valledupar at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 16th (lower half) with 18. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santa Fe, last 4: LWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Nacional, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Junior, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.9 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 64%, draw 22%, Alianza Valledupar 14%.
Lower-risk option: Santa Fe or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Fe to win (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe64%fair 1.56 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.50
Alianza Valledupar14%fair 7.02 · @5.00
2.68Expected goals
1.95Santa Fe xG
0.73Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.9 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Primera A average
+19%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.14
0.72
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Double chance
Santa Fe or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Santa Fe (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Santa Fe to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Santa Fe ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
Santa Fe – last 4
LWLL
26 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Junior
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Jaguares
1–3
L
14 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 3
DLD
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Santa Fe to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Valledupar 14%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar?
Santa Fe vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
