America de Cali 54%Draw 26%Deportes Tolima 20%Expected goals 1.50 – 0.75
80%
Betarazi pick
America de Cali or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win54% · @1.95
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.27
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportes Tolima travel to face America de Cali on Sunday 15 March in the Primera A, with Olimpico Pascual Guerrero the venue – the ball rolls at 22:10 WAT. In the table, America de Cali are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
America de Cali, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Pasto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over O'Higgins, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.5 xG, Deportes Tolima 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 54%, draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 20%.
Lower-risk option: America de Cali or draw (80%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was America de Cali or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–0 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America de Cali54%fair 1.86 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.00
Deportes Tolima20%fair 5.07 · @4.20
2.24Expected goals
1.50America de Cali xG
0.75Deportes Tolima xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.5 – 0.7 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America de Cali
Deportes Tolima
Attack vs Primera A average
+14%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.57
0.73
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win
54%
1.86
1.95
Double chance
America de Cali or draw
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
America de Cali (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Tolima +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
America de Cali to score first
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
America de Cali – last 5
LWWLW
10 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Feb
vs Jaguares
3–0
W
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WLWLWW
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Cucuta
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Once Caldas
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportes Tolima 20%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
