Once Caldas vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 March the Primera A brings Once Caldas against Millonarios at Estadio Palogrande. Kick-off: 00:20 WAT. In the table, Once Caldas are 8th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Once Caldas, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bucaramanga, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Millonarios, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atletico Nacional, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.3 xG, Millonarios 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 42%, draw 27%, Millonarios 31%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–1 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Once Caldas42%fair 2.36 · @2.14
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.40
Millonarios31%fair 3.25 · @3.25
2.49Expected goals
1.35Once Caldas xG
1.15Millonarios xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.3 – 1.1 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Once Caldas
Millonarios
Attack vs Primera A average
-5%
+17%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.13
1.02
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✗
42%
2.36
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Once Caldas (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Millonarios +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Once Caldas to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.64
–
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 5
DWWWL
19 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–2
W
7 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Chico
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Millonarios – last 6
WLWWWL
18 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Chico
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Deportivo Pereira
5–1
W
22 Feb
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Millonarios.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Millonarios 31%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Once Caldas vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
