Atletico Nacional 69%Draw 18%Internacional de Bogota 12%Expected goals 2.28 – 0.82
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓69% · @1.37
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Atletico Nacional v Internacional de Bogota in the Primera A, played at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Internacional de Bogota are 13th (lower half) with 20. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Millonarios, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Internacional de Bogota, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Pereira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.3 xG, Internacional de Bogota 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 69%, draw 18%, Internacional de Bogota 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Internacional de Bogota. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional69%fair 1.44 · @1.37
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @4.55
Internacional de Bogota12%fair 8.04 · @8.20
3.10Expected goals
2.28Atletico Nacional xG
0.82Internacional de Bogota xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.3 – 0.8 Internacional de Bogota expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Nacional
Internacional de Bogota
Attack vs Primera A average
+48%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+16%
Our expected goals here
2.53
0.88
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
69%
1.44
1.37
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
LWWLLW
18 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Junior
4–0
W
5 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Santa Fe
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Internacional de Bogota – last 4
DDWD
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Llaneros
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Millonarios
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Internacional de Bogota.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Internacional de Bogota 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Internacional de Bogota, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
