Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Cali to win @ 2.42 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cali to win45% · @2.42
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw73% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.90
Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Cali travel to face Alianza Valledupar on Sunday 22 March in the Primera A, with Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Cali are 3rd (among the top four) with 34. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jaguares, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Deportivo Cali, last 4: DLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santa Fe, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 0.8 xG, Deportivo Cali 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 27%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 45%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cali or draw (73%) at 1.38.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Cali to win @2.42 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Deportivo Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Valledupar27%fair 3.69 · @2.98
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @3.10
Deportivo Cali45%fair 2.21 · @2.42
2.13Expected goals
0.80Alianza Valledupar xG
1.33Deportivo Cali xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
1–113%
0–012%
0–210%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 0.8 – 1.3 Deportivo Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
Attack vs Primera A average
-19%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
-47%
Our expected goals here
0.63
1.36
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cali to win
45%
2.21
2.42 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Cali or draw
73%
1.37
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
Deportivo Cali (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Valledupar +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Deportivo Cali to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cali / FT Deportivo Cali
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Alianza Valledupar – last 5
WDDLD
19 Mar
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Deportivo Cali – last 4
DLDW
19 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
7 Mar
vs Once Caldas
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Valledupar and Deportivo Cali.
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali?
On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Cali 45%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali?
Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Deportivo Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali?
Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
