Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 2 April the Primera A brings Atletico Nacional against Cucuta at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Cucuta are 11th (lower half) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Deportivo Pasto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cucuta, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Pereira, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Cucuta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.3 xG, Cucuta 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 71%, draw 19%, Cucuta 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (71%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional71%fair 1.41 · @1.31
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.25
Cucuta11%fair 9.51 · @8.50
3.14Expected goals
2.34Atletico Nacional xG
0.80Cucuta xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.3 – 0.8 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Nacional
Cucuta
Attack vs Primera A average
+48%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+6%
Our expected goals here
2.30
0.77
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✗
71%
1.41
1.31
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WWLWWL
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Junior
4–0
W
5 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 5
DDLWD
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Llaneros
2–2
D
10 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Cucuta.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cucuta 11%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
