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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America de Cali v Bucaramanga: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
2–0
FT
America de Cali 54%Draw 27%Bucaramanga 20% Expected goals 1.42 – 0.82
80%
Betarazi pick

America de Cali or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓54% · @1.84
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37

America de Cali vs Bucaramanga: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 2 April the Primera A brings America de Cali against Bucaramanga at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. Kick-off: 22:10 WAT. In the table, America de Cali are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Bucaramanga are 4th (among the top four) with 32.

Current form

America de Cali, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Independiente Medellin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Bucaramanga, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Santa Fe, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours America de Cali, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Bucaramanga.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended America de Cali 2–1 Bucaramanga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.4 xG, Bucaramanga 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 54%, draw 27%, Bucaramanga 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: America de Cali or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was America de Cali or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–0 Bucaramanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America de Cali54%fair 1.87 · @1.84
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25
Bucaramanga20%fair 5.07 · @4.55
2.24Expected goals
1.42America de Cali xG
0.82Bucaramanga xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%

From our goals model: America de Cali 1.4 – 0.8 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

America de CaliBucaramanga
Attack vs Primera A average+14%+27%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-16%
Our expected goals here1.410.92

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica de Cali to win ✓54%1.871.84
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.15 ▲
Draw no betAmerica de Cali (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapBucaramanga +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreAmerica de Cali to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT America de Cali / FT America de Cali ✓30%3.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

America de Cali – last 6

LDWLWW
31 Mar@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
26 Marvs Llaneros0–0D
20 Mar@ Águilas Doradas1–0W
10 Mar@ Deportivo Pasto0–2L
6 Marvs Bucaramanga2–1W
23 Febvs Jaguares3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bucaramanga – last 6

LLDWLW
28 Marvs Santa Fe1–2L
25 Mar@ Junior0–2L
19 Marvs Once Caldas1–1D
11 Marvs Deportivo Pereira3–0W
6 Mar@ America de Cali1–2L
1 Mar@ Independiente Medellin2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026America de Cali v Bucaramanga2–1
America de Cali vs Bucaramanga head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?

Our pick is America de Cali or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?

On our numbers America de Cali have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bucaramanga 20%.

How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?

Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is America de Cali vs Bucaramanga?

America de Cali vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.