Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChico to win ✓50% · @1.91
Double chanceChico or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Chico vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Thursday 2 April: Chico v Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A, played at Estadio La Independencia. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 17th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chico, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Tolima, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Deportivo Pereira, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Cali, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 1.4 xG, Deportivo Pereira 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 50%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pereira 23%.
Lower-risk option: Chico or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.30.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chico or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico50%fair 2.00 · @1.91
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
Deportivo Pereira23%fair 4.30 · @4.30
2.33Expected goals
1.37Chico xG
0.96Deportivo Pereira xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Chico 1.4 – 1.0 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chico
Deportivo Pereira
Attack vs Primera A average
-30%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.03
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chico to win✓
50%
2.00
1.91
Double chance
Chico or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Chico (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.47
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Pereira +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Chico to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chico / FT Chico✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Chico – last 6
DLWLLL
23 Mar
vs Deportes Tolima
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Millonarios
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Once Caldas
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
LDDLLD
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ Millonarios
1–5
L
21 Feb
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Chico or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Chico have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Pereira 23%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Deportivo Pereira?
Chico vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
