Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLlaneros to win39% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.79
Chico vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 2 May the Primera A brings Chico against Llaneros at Estadio La Independencia. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Chico, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Internacional de Bogota, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Llaneros, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Alianza Valledupar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 1.0 xG, Llaneros 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 33%, draw 28%, Llaneros 39%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 1–1 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico33%fair 3.04 · @2.92
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @3.10
Llaneros39%fair 2.56 · @2.48
2.22Expected goals
1.05Chico xG
1.17Llaneros xG
54%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Chico 1.0 – 1.2 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chico
Llaneros
Attack vs Primera A average
-30%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.06
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Llaneros to win
39%
2.56
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Llaneros (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Chico +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Llaneros to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llaneros / FT Llaneros
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.79
–
Recent results
Chico – last 6
LLWLWD
27 Apr
@ Internacional de Bogota
0–4
L
23 Apr
@ Independiente Medellin
0–2
L
17 Apr
vs Deportivo Cali
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Bucaramanga
0–5
L
2 Apr
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–0
W
23 Mar
vs Deportes Tolima
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Llaneros – last 6
DLWDDD
27 Apr
vs Alianza Valledupar
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Junior
0–2
L
2 Apr
@ Santa Fe
1–0
W
30 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
26 Mar
@ America de Cali
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Llaneros.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Chico vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Chico have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Llaneros 39%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Chico 1–1 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Llaneros?
Chico vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
