Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultJaguares to win38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.06
Jaguares vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jaguares welcome Cucuta to Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria for a Primera A fixture on Saturday 2 May (22:00 WAT). In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Cucuta are 11th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Jaguares, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Deportivo Pasto, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Cucuta, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atletico Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cucuta, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Jaguares.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.4 xG, Cucuta 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 38%, draw 26%, Cucuta 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 1–1 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares38%fair 2.65 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Cucuta36%fair 2.77 · @2.90
2.71Expected goals
1.36Jaguares xG
1.35Cucuta xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.4 – 1.4 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jaguares
Cucuta
Attack vs Primera A average
-16%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.31
1.35
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jaguares to win
38%
2.65
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.65
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Jaguares (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Cucuta +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.38
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Jaguares to score first
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jaguares / FT Jaguares
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Jaguares – last 6
LLWLDL
17 Apr
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–3
L
7 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Millonarios
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
1–3
L
24 Mar
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Alianza Valledupar
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 6
DDDLWD
2 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–0
D
24 Mar
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
17 Mar
@ Llaneros
2–2
D
10 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Cucuta.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Jaguares vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cucuta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Cucuta?
Jaguares vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Futbol de Monteria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
