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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kolkheti Poti v Samtredia: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Fazisi Stadium
1–3
FT
Kolkheti Poti 47%Draw 25%Samtredia 28% Expected goals 1.46 – 1.30
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Samtredia to win @ 3.80 – our chance 28% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKolkheti Poti to win ✗47% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39

Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 22 April the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Kolkheti Poti against Samtredia at Fazisi Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Kolkheti Poti are 10th, in the drop zone, on 35 points after 32 matches; Samtredia are 4th (among the top four) with 46.

Current form

Kolkheti Poti, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Merani Martvili, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Samtredia, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Telavi, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kolkheti Poti 1.5 xG, Samtredia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kolkheti Poti 47%, draw 25%, Samtredia 28%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Samtredia to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 28%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kolkheti Poti 1–1 Samtredia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kolkheti Poti47%fair 2.13 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.50
Samtredia28%fair 3.56 · @3.80
2.76Expected goals
1.46Kolkheti Poti xG
1.30Samtredia xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Kolkheti Poti 1.5 – 1.3 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKolkheti Poti to win ✗47%2.131.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.75
Draw no betKolkheti Poti (draw no bet) ✗63%1.60–
Asian handicapSamtredia +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.92–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreKolkheti Poti to score first ✓50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kolkheti Poti / FT Kolkheti Poti ✗24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.39–

Recent results

Kolkheti Poti – last 6

WWLLLD
7 Aprvs Merani Martvili5–1W
3 Aprvs Aragvi Dusheti3–1W
15 Mar@ Gareji1–2L
11 Marvs Telavi0–1L
7 Mar@ Odishi 19190–2L
1 Marvs Shturmi1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Samtredia – last 5

LWLDL
7 Apr@ Telavi0–2L
3 Aprvs Odishi 19192–0W
15 Mar@ Shturmi2–3L
11 Marvs Gori2–2D
7 Mar@ Aragvi Dusheti1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kolkheti Poti and Samtredia.

Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

On our numbers Kolkheti Poti have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samtredia 28%.

How many goals will there be in Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

Our predicted score is Kolkheti Poti 1–1 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Fazisi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.