Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultTelavi to win ✗38% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.75
Telavi vs Shturmi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 22 April the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Telavi against Shturmi at Kavkasioni Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Telavi are 3rd, among the top four, on 47 points after 32 matches; Shturmi are 2nd (among the top four) with 49. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Telavi, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gori, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Shturmi, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aragvi Dusheti, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Telavi 1.1 xG, Shturmi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Telavi 38%, draw 27%, Shturmi 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Telavi 1–1 Shturmi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Telavi38%fair 2.63 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.20
Shturmi35%fair 2.83 · @2.62
2.16Expected goals
1.12Telavi xG
1.04Shturmi xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Telavi 1.1 – 1.0 Shturmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Telavi to win✗
38%
2.63
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Telavi (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Shturmi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Telavi to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Telavi / FT Telavi✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.75
–
Recent results
Telavi – last 5
DWLDW
17 Apr
@ Gori
1–1
D
7 Apr
vs Samtredia
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Sioni
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Merani Martvili
1–1
D
11 Mar
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Shturmi – last 5
WDWDD
7 Apr
@ Aragvi Dusheti
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Gori
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Samtredia
3–2
W
11 Mar
@ Sioni
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Telavi and Shturmi.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Telavi vs Shturmi?
On our numbers Telavi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Shturmi 35%.
How many goals will there be in Telavi vs Shturmi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Telavi vs Shturmi?
Our predicted score is Telavi 1–1 Shturmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Telavi vs Shturmi?
Telavi vs Shturmi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kavkasioni Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
