Value bet: Aragvi Dusheti to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.08
Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Merani Martvili against Aragvi Dusheti at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Merani Martvili are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Aragvi Dusheti are 6th (lower half) with 43. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Merani Martvili, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Kolkheti Poti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Shturmi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Aragvi Dusheti, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for Merani Martvili.
Head to head
When they last met (29 May 2026) it ended Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Merani Martvili.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merani Martvili 1.3 xG, Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merani Martvili 42%, draw 22%, Aragvi Dusheti 36%.
Price worth noting: Aragvi Dusheti to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merani Martvili 1–1 Aragvi Dusheti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merani Martvili42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Aragvi Dusheti36%fair 2.77 · @3.25
2.47Expected goals
1.30Merani Martvili xG
1.17Aragvi Dusheti xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.3 – 1.2 Aragvi Dusheti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aragvi Dusheti 36%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–1 Aragvi Dusheti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Merani Martvili vs Aragvi Dusheti (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
