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Kolkheti Poti v Samtredia: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Fazisi Stadium
1–0
FT
Kolkheti Poti 39%Draw 22%Samtredia 39% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.42
53%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultKolkheti Poti to win ✓39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 16 September the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Kolkheti Poti against Samtredia at Fazisi Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Kolkheti Poti are 10th, in the drop zone, on 35 points after 32 matches; Samtredia are 4th (among the top four) with 46.

Current form

Kolkheti Poti, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sioni, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Samtredia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Gareji, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Samtredia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kolkheti Poti.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Samtredia 2–2 Kolkheti Poti. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kolkheti Poti 0 wins, Samtredia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kolkheti Poti 1.4 xG, Samtredia 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kolkheti Poti 39%, draw 22%, Samtredia 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kolkheti Poti 2–1 Samtredia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kolkheti Poti39%fair 2.54 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Samtredia39%fair 2.56 · @2.70
2.85Expected goals
1.43Kolkheti Poti xG
1.42Samtredia xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Kolkheti Poti 1.4 – 1.4 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKolkheti Poti to win ✓39%2.542.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.93–
Draw no betKolkheti Poti (draw no bet) ✓50%1.99–
Asian handicapSamtredia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreKolkheti Poti to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kolkheti Poti / FT Kolkheti Poti ✓22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Kolkheti Poti – last 6

DWDLDL
12 Sep@ Sioni1–1D
6 Sepvs Merani Martvili2–0W
30 Augvs Aragvi Dusheti1–1D
22 Aug@ Gareji2–3L
15 Augvs Telavi1–1D
8 Aug@ Odishi 19191–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Samtredia – last 6

WWWWWW
12 Sepvs Gareji6–1W
7 Sep@ Telavi3–0W
2 Sepvs FC Iberia 19992–0W
28 Augvs Odishi 19193–0W
22 Aug@ Shturmi1–0W
15 Augvs Gori1–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Samtredia v Kolkheti Poti2–2
22 Apr 2026Kolkheti Poti v Samtredia1–3
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

On our numbers Kolkheti Poti have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samtredia 39%.

How many goals will there be in Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

Our predicted score is Kolkheti Poti 2–1 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia?

Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Fazisi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.