Value bet: Sioni to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.26
Merani Martvili vs Sioni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Merani Martvili v Sioni in the Erovnuli Liga 2, played at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. In the table, Merani Martvili are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Sioni are 7th (lower half) with 40. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Merani Martvili, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Aragvi Dusheti, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Sioni, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kolkheti Poti, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sioni, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Merani Martvili.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Sioni 2–0 Merani Martvili. The last 2 head-to-heads: Merani Martvili 1 win, Sioni 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merani Martvili 1.2 xG, Sioni 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merani Martvili 40%, draw 22%, Sioni 38%.
Price worth noting: Sioni to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merani Martvili 1–1 Sioni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merani Martvili40%fair 2.53 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Sioni38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.44Expected goals
1.23Merani Martvili xG
1.20Sioni xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.2 – 1.2 Sioni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sioni 38%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–1 Sioni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Sioni?
Merani Martvili vs Sioni (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
