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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Keflavik v KR Reykjavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
3–2
FT
Keflavik 24%Draw 17%KR Reykjavik 59% Expected goals 1.79 – 2.71
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultKR Reykjavik to win ✗59% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.73

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Keflavik v KR Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Keflavik are 6th on 30 points after 27 matches; KR Reykjavik are 2nd with 56. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Keflavik, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valur Reykjavik, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

KR Reykjavik, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 5–3 win over IA Akranes, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Keflavik 1.8 xG, KR Reykjavik 2.7 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Keflavik 24%, draw 17%, KR Reykjavik 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Keflavik 1–2 KR Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Keflavik24%fair 4.19 · @3.65
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @4.50
KR Reykjavik59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
4.51Expected goals
1.79Keflavik xG
2.71KR Reykjavik xG
72%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%
1–37%
2–27%
2–36%
1–15%
2–15%

From our goals model: Keflavik 1.8 – 2.7 KR Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKR Reykjavik to win ✗59%1.691.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.381.25
Draw no betKR Reykjavik (draw no bet) ✗71%1.40–
Asian handicapKeflavik +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗57%1.761.55
First team to scoreKR Reykjavik to score first60%1.68–
Half-time resultKR Reykjavik ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT KR Reykjavik / FT KR Reykjavik ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.73–

Recent results

Keflavik – last 6

DLLWDW
21 Jun@ Valur Reykjavik1–1D
14 Junvs FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
31 May@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–6L
22 Mayvs Thor Akureyri1–0W
17 Mayvs Stjarnan1–1D
8 May@ IA Akranes3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

KR Reykjavik – last 6

WLWWLD
22 Junvs IA Akranes5–3W
16 Jun@ Vikingur Reykjavik0–2L
31 Mayvs KA Akureyri5–3W
26 Mayvs Valur Reykjavik3–1W
22 May@ Breidablik3–6L
17 Mayvs Fram Reykjavik2–2D
3.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Keflavik and KR Reykjavik.

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

On our numbers Keflavik have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and KR Reykjavik 59%.

How many goals will there be in Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Our predicted score is Keflavik 1–2 KR Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik?

Keflavik vs KR Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.