Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Sunday 28 June: Thor Akureyri v Valur Reykjavik in the Úrvalsdeild, played at Thorsvollur. In the table, Thor Akureyri are 4th on 30 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34.
Current form
Thor Akureyri, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FH hafnarfjordur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Keflavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Valur Reykjavik, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Thor Akureyri.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Thor Akureyri 5–1 Valur Reykjavik.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thor Akureyri 1.6 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thor Akureyri 29%, draw 20%, Valur Reykjavik 51%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.33.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thor Akureyri 1–2 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thor Akureyri29%fair 3.50 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @4.20
Valur Reykjavik51%fair 1.96 · @1.75
3.52Expected goals
1.58Thor Akureyri xG
1.94Valur Reykjavik xG
68%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.6 – 1.9 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valur Reykjavik 51%.
How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–2 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik?
Thor Akureyri vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
