Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the Úrvalsdeild brings Stjarnan against KA Akureyri. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; KA Akureyri are 5th with 29.
Current form
Stjarnan, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to IBV Vestmannaeyjar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
KA Akureyri, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Breidablik, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.1 xG, KA Akureyri 1.7 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 71% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 47%, draw 21%, KA Akureyri 32%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stjarnan47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.00
KA Akureyri32%fair 3.12 · @2.80
3.86Expected goals
2.14Stjarnan xG
1.72KA Akureyri xG
71%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.1 – 1.7 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stjarnan to win✓
47%
2.11
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Draw no bet
Stjarnan (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
KA Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
First team to score
Stjarnan to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Stjarnan ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stjarnan / FT Stjarnan✓
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Stjarnan – last 6
LDLWLL
21 Jun
@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1–2
L
16 Jun
vs Breidablik
4–4
D
10 Jun
@ Afturelding
1–3
L
31 May
@ Thor Akureyri
3–1
W
26 May
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
1–3
L
22 May
vs Fram Reykjavik
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
KA Akureyri – last 6
LLLLWL
21 Jun
@ Breidablik
1–3
L
15 Jun
vs Fram Reykjavik
3–4
L
31 May
@ KR Reykjavik
3–5
L
22 May
vs Valur Reykjavik
0–1
L
17 May
@ FH hafnarfjordur
2–1
W
14 May
vs Ægir
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stjarnan and KA Akureyri.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KA Akureyri 32%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
