FC Sochi 58%Draw 21%Rodina Moskva 21%Expected goals 2.13 – 1.24
79%
Betarazi pick
FC Sochi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win58% · @1.72
Double chanceFC Sochi or draw79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.33
FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Friendlies Clubs brings FC Sochi against Rodina Moskva. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 2.1 xG, Rodina Moskva 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 58%, draw 21%, Rodina Moskva 21%.
Lower-risk option: FC Sochi or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was FC Sochi or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 2–1 Rodina Moskva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Sochi58%fair 1.74 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.94
Rodina Moskva21%fair 4.72 · @4.25
3.37Expected goals
2.13FC Sochi xG
1.24Rodina Moskva xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 2.1 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Sochi
Rodina Moskva
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+13%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
+17%
Our expected goals here
2.23
1.30
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win
58%
1.74
1.72
Double chance
FC Sochi or draw
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Rodina Moskva +1.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.47
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.19
First team to score
FC Sochi to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
FC Sochi ahead at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
FC Sochi
No recent results on record.
Rodina Moskva
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is FC Sochi or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rodina Moskva 21%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 2–1 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva?
FC Sochi vs Rodina Moskva (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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