Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓38% · @3.20
Double chanceKaluga or draw ✓74% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 18.00
Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Kaluga v Torpedo Vladimir in the Friendlies Clubs.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kaluga 1.5 xG, Torpedo Vladimir 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kaluga 36%, draw 38%, Torpedo Vladimir 26%.
Lower-risk option: Kaluga or draw (74%) at 1.32.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.52.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Kaluga or draw (74%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kaluga 1–1 Torpedo Vladimir. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kaluga36%fair 2.78 · @2.23
Draw38%fair 2.62 · @3.20
Torpedo Vladimir26%fair 3.85 · @2.84
2.74Expected goals
1.52Kaluga xG
1.22Torpedo Vladimir xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kaluga 1.5 – 1.2 Torpedo Vladimir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kaluga
Torpedo Vladimir
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+1%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
-1%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.11
0.81
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
38%
2.62
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Kaluga or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.52
Draw no bet
Kaluga (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Torpedo Vladimir +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Kaluga to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kaluga / FT Kaluga✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
18.00
–
Recent results
Kaluga
No recent results on record.
Torpedo Vladimir
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Torpedo Vladimir.
What is the prediction for Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Our pick is Kaluga or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 38% and Torpedo Vladimir 26%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Torpedo Vladimir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir?
Kaluga vs Torpedo Vladimir (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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