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Deportes Santa Cruz v Magallanes: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile
Sat 11 Apr 2026
Deportes Santa Cruz 37%Draw 26%Magallanes 37% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.35
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMagallanes to win37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.07

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Magallanes travel to face Deportes Santa Cruz on Saturday 11 April in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 29 matches; Magallanes are 5th (upper half) with 46. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to San Luis, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Magallanes, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rangers de Talca, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Magallanes, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Deportes Santa Cruz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 xG, Magallanes 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Santa Cruz 37%, draw 26%, Magallanes 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Magallanes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportes Santa Cruz37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
Magallanes37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
2.69Expected goals
1.34Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.35Magallanes xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 – 1.3 Magallanes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMagallanes to win37%2.682.50
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.73
Draw no betMagallanes (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapDeportes Santa Cruz +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.961.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.16–
First team to scoreMagallanes to score first47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Magallanes / FT Magallanes22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.07–

Recent results

Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6

LWLLDD
30 Mar@ San Luis2–3L
22 Marvs Curico Unido4–2W
16 Mar@ D. Puerto Montt0–2L
9 Mar@ Santiago Wanderers2–3L
28 Febvs Cobreloa0–0D
21 Feb@ San Marcos de Arica1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Magallanes – last 5

WDWDW
30 Marvs Rangers de Talca3–2W
24 Mar@ Cobreloa1–1D
10 Mar@ Union Espanola2–1W
2 Marvs San Marcos de Arica1–1D
24 Feb@ Curico Unido2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportes Santa Cruz and Magallanes.

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Magallanes 37%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 Magallanes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes?

Deportes Santa Cruz vs Magallanes (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.