Union San Felipe 38%Draw 26%Curico Unido 35%Expected goals 1.26 – 1.34
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Curico Unido to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUnion San Felipe to win38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.65
Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Curico Unido travel to face Union San Felipe on Saturday 11 April in the Primera B, with Estadio Municipal de San Felipe the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; Curico Unido are 13th (lower half) with 34.
Current form
Union San Felipe, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Marcos de Arica, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Curico Unido, last 4: DLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Copiapo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Union San Felipe, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Curico Unido.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.3 xG, Curico Unido 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 38%, draw 26%, Curico Unido 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Curico Unido to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 Curico Unido. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union San Felipe38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.20
Curico Unido35%fair 2.84 · @3.10
2.60Expected goals
1.26Union San Felipe xG
1.34Curico Unido xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.3 – 1.3 Curico Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union San Felipe to win
38%
2.61
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Union San Felipe (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Union San Felipe +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Curico Unido to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curico Unido / FT Curico Unido
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
12.65
–
Recent results
Union San Felipe – last 4
DLWL
23 Mar
vs San Marcos de Arica
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Recoleta
0–2
L
6 Mar
vs Antofagasta
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Deportes Iquique
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Curico Unido – last 4
DLDL
29 Mar
vs Deportes Copiapo
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
2–4
L
3 Mar
@ San Luis
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union San Felipe and Curico Unido.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Curico Unido 35%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Curico Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido?
Union San Felipe vs Curico Unido (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
