Value bet: Cobreloa to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultUnion Espanola to win ✗44% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
Union Espanola vs Cobreloa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 April the Primera B brings Union Espanola against Cobreloa at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Union Espanola are 9th, lower half, on 39 points after 29 matches; Cobreloa are 1st (leading the league) with 54. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union Espanola, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over D. Puerto Montt, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Cobreloa, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Magallanes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cobreloa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Union Espanola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Espanola 1.3 xG, Cobreloa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Espanola 44%, draw 23%, Cobreloa 33%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Cobreloa to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Espanola 1–1 Cobreloa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Espanola44%fair 2.27 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
Cobreloa33%fair 3.07 · @3.35
2.60Expected goals
1.28Union Espanola xG
1.32Cobreloa xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union Espanola 1.3 – 1.3 Cobreloa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Espanola to win✗
44%
2.27
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Union Espanola (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Union Espanola +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Cobreloa to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cobreloa / FT Cobreloa✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.45
–
Recent results
Union Espanola – last 4
WLLL
21 Mar
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Antofagasta
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ Recoleta
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cobreloa – last 4
DWDW
24 Mar
vs Magallanes
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Deportes Iquique
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Deportes Temuco
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Espanola and Cobreloa.
What is the prediction for Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
On our numbers Union Espanola have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cobreloa 33%.
How many goals will there be in Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
Our predicted score is Union Espanola 1–1 Cobreloa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union Espanola vs Cobreloa?
Union Espanola vs Cobreloa (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
