Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Marcos de Arica travel to face Deportes Santa Cruz on Sunday 4 October in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to O'Higgins, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Marcos de Arica, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Curico Unido, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended San Marcos de Arica 1–1 Deportes Santa Cruz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Santa Cruz 1.2 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Santa Cruz 40%, draw 23%, San Marcos de Arica 37%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Santa Cruz40%fair 2.48 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
San Marcos de Arica37%fair 2.72 · @2.62
2.36Expected goals
1.22Deportes Santa Cruz xG
1.14San Marcos de Arica xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.2 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Marcos de Arica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica?
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
