San Luis 61%Draw 24%Union Espanola 16%Expected goals 1.83 – 0.81
84%
Betarazi pick
San Luis or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: San Luis to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Luis to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceSan Luis or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
San Luis vs Union Espanola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Primera B brings San Luis against Union Espanola. Kick-off: 21:30 WAT. In the table, San Luis are 2nd, among the top four, on 54 points after 29 matches; Union Espanola are 9th (lower half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
San Luis, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Union San Felipe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Espanola, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Temuco, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours San Luis, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Union Espanola.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Luis 1.8 xG, Union Espanola 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Luis 61%, draw 24%, Union Espanola 16%.
Lower-risk option: San Luis or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: San Luis to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Luis or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Luis 1–0 Union Espanola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Luis61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Union Espanola16%fair 6.40 · @3.75
2.64Expected goals
1.83San Luis xG
0.81Union Espanola xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: San Luis 1.8 – 0.8 Union Espanola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Luis to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
San Luis or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Draw no bet
San Luis (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
San Luis -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
San Luis to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
San Luis ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Luis / FT San Luis✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
San Luis – last 6
WWWWLW
30 Sep
@ Union San Felipe
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Antofagasta
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Cobreloa
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Deportes Iquique
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Santiago Wanderers
0–1
L
17 Aug
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Espanola – last 6
DLDLLW
16 Sep
vs Deportes Temuco
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Curico Unido
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Deportes Santa Cruz
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Rangers de Talca
0–1
L
27 Aug
@ Colo Colo
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Cobreloa
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Luis and Union Espanola.
What is the prediction for San Luis vs Union Espanola?
Our pick is San Luis or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win San Luis vs Union Espanola?
On our numbers San Luis have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Espanola 16%.
How many goals will there be in San Luis vs Union Espanola?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Luis vs Union Espanola?
Our predicted score is San Luis 1–0 Union Espanola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is San Luis vs Union Espanola?
San Luis vs Union Espanola (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
