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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Union San Felipe v Deportes Iquique: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile · Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Union San Felipe 32%Draw 22%Deportes Iquique 46% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.36
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Deportes Iquique to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Iquique to win ✓46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 4 October: Union San Felipe v Deportes Iquique in the Primera B, played at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe. In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; Deportes Iquique are 10th (lower half) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Union San Felipe, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Luis, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Deportes Iquique, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Antofagasta, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Deportes Iquique 5–0 Union San Felipe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.1 xG, Deportes Iquique 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 32%, draw 22%, Deportes Iquique 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Deportes Iquique to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 Deportes Iquique. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Union San Felipe32%fair 3.12 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Deportes Iquique46%fair 2.17 · @2.30
2.42Expected goals
1.06Union San Felipe xG
1.36Deportes Iquique xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%

From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.4 Deportes Iquique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportes Iquique to win ✓46%2.172.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.75
Draw no betDeportes Iquique (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapUnion San Felipe +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDeportes Iquique to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportes Iquique / FT Deportes Iquique ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.49–

Recent results

Union San Felipe – last 6

LLDDLL
30 Sepvs San Luis0–1L
26 Sepvs Deportes Copiapo1–4L
5 Sep@ Magallanes0–0D
29 Augvs Deportes Santa Cruz0–0D
24 Aug@ Curico Unido0–2L
16 Augvs Cobreloa0–1L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Deportes Iquique – last 6

LDWLLL
27 Sep@ Antofagasta1–4L
24 Sepvs Antofagasta1–1D
15 Sep@ Rangers de Talca2–1W
10 Sepvs Deportes Santa Cruz0–1L
4 Sep@ Santiago Wanderers0–1L
30 Augvs San Luis0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Deportes Iquique v Union San Felipe5–0
Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?

On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Deportes Iquique 46%.

How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?

Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Deportes Iquique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique (Primera B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.