Deportes Santa Cruz v D. Puerto Montt Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Santa Cruz to win ✗41% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

D. Puerto Montt travel to face Deportes Santa Cruz on Saturday 8 August in the Primera B – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Deportes Santa Cruz are 14th, in the drop zone, on 24 points after 29 matches; D. Puerto Montt are 11th (lower half) with 38. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Deportes Santa Cruz, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Santiago Wanderers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

D. Puerto Montt, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Recoleta, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours D. Puerto Montt, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Deportes Santa Cruz.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Mar 2026) it ended D. Puerto Montt 2–0 Deportes Santa Cruz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 xG, D. Puerto Montt 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Santa Cruz 41%, draw 28%, D. Puerto Montt 31%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 D. Puerto Montt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportes Santa Cruz41%fair 2.45 · @2.10

Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.20

D. Puerto Montt31%fair 3.19 · @3.25

2.36Expected goals

1.27Deportes Santa Cruz xG

1.08D. Puerto Montt xG

56%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

2–08%

From our goals model: Deportes Santa Cruz 1.3 – 1.1 D. Puerto Montt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportes Santa Cruz to win ✗	41%	2.45	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.39	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.80	1.85
Draw no bet	Deportes Santa Cruz (draw no bet)	57%	1.77	–
Asian handicap	D. Puerto Montt +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.74	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Deportes Santa Cruz to score first ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportes Santa Cruz / FT Deportes Santa Cruz ✗	23%	4.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.02	–

Deportes Santa Cruz – last 6

LLLWDW

2 Aug	vs Santiago Wanderers	1–3	L
25 Jul	@ Cobreloa	2–4	L
11 Jul	@ Palestino	2–3	L
5 Jul	vs A. Italiano	2–1	W
27 Jun	vs Palestino	0–0	D
20 Jun	@ A. Italiano	1–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

D. Puerto Montt – last 6

WWLWWW

2 Aug	@ Recoleta	1–0	W
26 Jul	vs Antofagasta	3–2	W
12 Jul	@ Concepción	0–2	L
5 Jul	vs Huachipato	2–1	W
29 Jun	vs Concepción	2–0	W
21 Jun	@ Huachipato	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cobreloa	29	15	9	5	+22	54
2	San Luis	29	15	9	5	+14	54
3	Santiago Wanderers	29	14	8	7	+16	50
4	Antofagasta	29	13	9	7	+25	48
5	Magallanes	29	13	7	9	+1	46
6	San Marcos de Arica	29	11	10	8	+7	43
7	Recoleta	29	11	9	9	-2	42
8	Deportes Copiapo	29	11	8	10	+1	41
9	Union Espanola	29	11	6	12	-3	39
10	Deportes Iquique	29	9	11	9	+9	38
11	D. Puerto Montt	29	11	5	13	-7	38
12	Deportes Temuco	30	9	9	12	+1	36
13	Curico Unido	30	8	10	12	-17	34
14	Deportes Santa Cruz	29	4	12	13	-14	24
15	Union San Felipe	29	5	8	16	-34	23
16	Rangers de Talca	29	5	6	18	-19	21

Team

Pts

+22

+14

+16

+25

-2

-3

-7

-17

-14

-34

-19

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?

On our numbers Deportes Santa Cruz have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and D. Puerto Montt 31%.

How many goals will there be in Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?

Our predicted score is Deportes Santa Cruz 1–1 D. Puerto Montt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt?

Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportes Santa Cruz v D. Puerto Montt: numbers & prediction