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Santiago Wanderers v San Marcos de Arica: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Chile
Santiago Wanderers 43%Draw 26%San Marcos de Arica 31% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.11
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSantiago Wanderers to win ✗43% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Santiago Wanderers welcome San Marcos de Arica for a Primera B fixture on Saturday 8 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Santiago Wanderers are 3rd, among the top four, on 50 points after 29 matches; San Marcos de Arica are 6th (upper half) with 43.

Current form

Santiago Wanderers, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Union La Calera, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

San Marcos de Arica, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Coquimbo Unido, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended San Marcos de Arica 0–0 Santiago Wanderers.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santiago Wanderers 1.4 xG, San Marcos de Arica 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santiago Wanderers 43%, draw 26%, San Marcos de Arica 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santiago Wanderers 1–1 San Marcos de Arica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santiago Wanderers43%fair 2.32 · @2.33
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
San Marcos de Arica31%fair 3.27 · @2.85
2.53Expected goals
1.42Santiago Wanderers xG
1.11San Marcos de Arica xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Santiago Wanderers 1.4 – 1.1 San Marcos de Arica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantiago Wanderers to win ✗43%2.322.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74%1.361.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betSantiago Wanderers (draw no bet)59%1.71–
Asian handicapSan Marcos de Arica +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreSantiago Wanderers to score first52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santiago Wanderers / FT Santiago Wanderers ✗26%3.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.22–

Recent results

Santiago Wanderers – last 6

LWWLLL
5 Augvs Union La Calera0–4L
2 Aug@ Deportes Santa Cruz3–1W
25 Julvs Union San Felipe2–0W
5 Julvs Universidad de Chile2–3L
28 Jun@ Union La Calera0–4L
21 Jun@ Universidad de Chile1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

San Marcos de Arica – last 6

LDWLLL
6 Aug@ Coquimbo Unido0–1L
1 Augvs Deportes Iquique1–1D
26 Julvs Magallanes2–0W
6 Jul@ Deportes Limache1–4L
27 Junvs Coquimbo Unido0–1L
20 Junvs Deportes Limache1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026San Marcos de Arica v Santiago Wanderers0–0
Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa291595+2254
2San Luis291595+1454
3Santiago Wanderers291487+1650
4Antofagasta291397+2548
5Magallanes291379+146
6San Marcos de Arica2911108+743
7Recoleta291199-242
8Deportes Copiapo2911810+141
9Union Espanola2911612-339
10Deportes Iquique299119+938
11D. Puerto Montt2911513-738
12Deportes Temuco309912+136
13Curico Unido3081012-1734
14Deportes Santa Cruz2941213-1424
15Union San Felipe295816-3423
16Rangers de Talca295618-1921

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

On our numbers Santiago Wanderers have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Marcos de Arica 31%.

How many goals will there be in Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

Our predicted score is Santiago Wanderers 1–1 San Marcos de Arica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica?

Santiago Wanderers vs San Marcos de Arica (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.