Value bet: Recoleta to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRecoleta to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Union San Felipe vs Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Recoleta travel to face Union San Felipe on Saturday 8 August in the Primera B, with Estadio Municipal de San Felipe the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Union San Felipe are 15th, in the drop zone, on 23 points after 29 matches; Recoleta are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Union San Felipe, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Universidad de Chile, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Recoleta, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to D. Puerto Montt, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Recoleta 2–0 Union San Felipe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union San Felipe 1.1 xG, Recoleta 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union San Felipe 32%, draw 26%, Recoleta 42%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Recoleta to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union San Felipe 1–1 Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union San Felipe32%fair 3.12 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
Recoleta42%fair 2.38 · @2.60
2.63Expected goals
1.14Union San Felipe xG
1.49Recoleta xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Union San Felipe 1.1 – 1.5 Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
On our numbers Union San Felipe have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Recoleta 42%.
How many goals will there be in Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Union San Felipe 1–1 Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union San Felipe vs Recoleta?
Union San Felipe vs Recoleta (Primera B) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de San Felipe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
