Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpain to win ✗66% · @1.15
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Spain vs Egypt: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Spain v Egypt in the Friendlies, played at RCDE Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spain 2.0 xG, Egypt 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spain 66%, draw 20%, Egypt 15%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spain 2–1 Egypt. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spain66%fair 1.52 · @1.15
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @7.20
Egypt15%fair 6.87 · @16.50
3.04Expected goals
2.01Spain xG
1.03Egypt xG
54%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–010%
1–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Spain 2.0 – 1.0 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Spain
Egypt
Attack vs Friendlies average
+3%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.45
0.98
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✗
66%
1.52
1.15
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Spain (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Spain -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.28
First team to score
Spain to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Spain ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Spain – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Serbia
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Egypt – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ Saudi Arabia
4–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Egypt.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Spain vs Egypt?
On our numbers Spain have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Egypt 15%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Egypt?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Egypt?
Our predicted score is Spain 2–1 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Egypt?
Spain vs Egypt (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at RCDE Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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