Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.12 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMadagascar to win ✗45% · @2.41
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Equatorial Guinea welcome Madagascar to Emir hotels Ilicia stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Tuesday 31 March (10:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Equatorial Guinea 1.5 xG, Madagascar 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Equatorial Guinea 32%, draw 23%, Madagascar 45%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.12 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Equatorial Guinea 1–1 Madagascar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Equatorial Guinea32%fair 3.12 · @2.78
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.28
Madagascar45%fair 2.21 · @2.41
3.22Expected goals
1.45Equatorial Guinea xG
1.77Madagascar xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Equatorial Guinea 1.5 – 1.8 Madagascar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madagascar to win✗
45%
2.21
2.41 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.84
Draw no bet
Madagascar (draw no bet)
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Equatorial Guinea +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
2.12 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.04
First team to score
Madagascar to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madagascar / FT Madagascar✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Equatorial Guinea
No recent results on record.
Madagascar
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Equatorial Guinea and Madagascar.
What is the prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
On our numbers Equatorial Guinea have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Madagascar 45%.
How many goals will there be in Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Our predicted score is Equatorial Guinea 1–1 Madagascar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar?
Equatorial Guinea vs Madagascar (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Emir hotels Ilicia stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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