Montenegro 32%Draw 37%Slovenia 31%Expected goals 1.19 – 1.06
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceMontenegro or draw ✗69% · @1.50
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Montenegro vs Slovenia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Montenegro v Slovenia in the Friendlies, played at Stadion pod Goricom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montenegro 1.2 xG, Slovenia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montenegro 32%, draw 37%, Slovenia 31%.
Lower-risk option: Montenegro or draw (69%) at 1.50.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montenegro 1–1 Slovenia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montenegro32%fair 3.11 · @2.95
Draw37%fair 2.74 · @3.10
Slovenia31%fair 3.19 · @2.25
2.24Expected goals
1.19Montenegro xG
1.06Slovenia xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Montenegro 1.2 – 1.1 Slovenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Montenegro
Slovenia
Attack vs Friendlies average
+5%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.17
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
37%
2.74
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Montenegro or draw✗
69%
1.46
1.50
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Montenegro (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Slovenia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Montenegro to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Montenegro / FT Montenegro✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.52
–
Recent results
Montenegro – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Andorra
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Slovenia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Montenegro and Slovenia.
What is the prediction for Montenegro vs Slovenia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montenegro vs Slovenia?
On our numbers Montenegro have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Slovenia 31%.
How many goals will there be in Montenegro vs Slovenia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montenegro vs Slovenia?
Our predicted score is Montenegro 1–1 Slovenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Montenegro vs Slovenia?
Montenegro vs Slovenia (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Goricom.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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