Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win53% · @2.20
Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.76
Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
ADT travel to face Deportivo Garcilaso on Saturday 14 February in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; ADT are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.6 xG, ADT 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 53%, draw 24%, ADT 23%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (77%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Garcilaso or draw (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 ADT. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Garcilaso53%fair 1.90 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
ADT23%fair 4.35 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.63Deportivo Garcilaso xG
0.78ADT xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.6 – 0.8 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Attack vs Primera División average
+16%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-15%
+7%
Our expected goals here
2.16
0.74
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Garcilaso to win
53%
1.90
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Garcilaso or draw
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Deportivo Garcilaso (draw no bet)
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
ADT +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Deportivo Garcilaso to score first
62%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.76
–
Recent results
Deportivo Garcilaso
No recent results on record.
ADT
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Garcilaso and ADT.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?
Our pick is Deportivo Garcilaso or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?
On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ADT 23%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 ADT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT?
Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
