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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sport Boys v Atletico Grau: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Miguel Grau
Sport Boys 48%Draw 27%Atletico Grau 25% Expected goals 1.22 – 0.70
75%
Betarazi pick

Sport Boys or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultSport Boys to win ✓48% · @2.05
Double chanceSport Boys or draw ✓75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.61

Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:30 WAT, Saturday 14 February: Sport Boys v Atletico Grau in the Primera División, played at Estadio Miguel Grau. In the table, Sport Boys are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sport Boys 1.2 xG, Atletico Grau 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Boys 48%, draw 27%, Atletico Grau 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Sport Boys or draw (75%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sport Boys or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Boys 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sport Boys48%fair 2.10 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Atletico Grau25%fair 3.99 · @3.55
1.92Expected goals
1.22Sport Boys xG
0.70Atletico Grau xG
47%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sport Boys 1.2 – 0.7 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Sport BoysAtletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average-12%-16%
Goals conceded vs average-23%-3%
Our expected goals here1.480.73

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSport Boys to win ✓48%2.102.05
Double chanceSport Boys or draw ✓75%1.331.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.901.67
Draw no betSport Boys (draw no bet) ✓66%1.53–
Asian handicapAtletico Grau +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.671.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.201.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreSport Boys to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sport Boys / FT Sport Boys ✗28%3.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.61–

Recent results

Sport Boys

No recent results on record.

Atletico Grau

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sport Boys and Atletico Grau.

Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Our pick is Sport Boys or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

On our numbers Sport Boys have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Grau 25%.

How many goals will there be in Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Our predicted score is Sport Boys 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau?

Sport Boys vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Grau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.