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Juan Pablo II College v Sporting Cristal: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Juan Pablo II College 32%Draw 23%Sporting Cristal 45% Expected goals 1.73 – 1.74
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 4.00 – our chance 32% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultSporting Cristal to win45% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score63% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.29

Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Cristal travel to face Juan Pablo II College on Saturday 14 February in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal de la Juventud the venue – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Sporting Cristal are 2nd (among the top four) with 32.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 1.7 xG, Sporting Cristal 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 32%, draw 23%, Sporting Cristal 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Juan Pablo II College to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Sporting Cristal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juan Pablo II College32%fair 3.17 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.35
Sporting Cristal45%fair 2.22 · @1.80
3.48Expected goals
1.73Juan Pablo II College xG
1.74Sporting Cristal xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 1.7 – 1.7 Sporting Cristal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Juan Pablo II CollegeSporting Cristal
Attack vs Primera División average+10%+46%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+0%
Our expected goals here1.911.45

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSporting Cristal to win45%2.221.80
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score63%1.581.77 ▲
Draw no betSporting Cristal (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapJuan Pablo II College +0.5 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.591.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals73%1.37–
First team to scoreSporting Cristal to score first49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time36%2.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.29–

Recent results

Juan Pablo II College

No recent results on record.

Sporting Cristal

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juan Pablo II College and Sporting Cristal.

Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal?

On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting Cristal 45%.

How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal?

Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 1–1 Sporting Cristal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal?

Juan Pablo II College vs Sporting Cristal (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de la Juventud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.