Alianza Lima 67%Draw 21%Juan Pablo II College 11%Expected goals 2.04 – 0.86
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Lima to win ✓67% · @1.23
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Alianza Lima v Juan Pablo II College in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. In the table, Alianza Lima are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Juan Pablo II College are 9th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo Garcilaso, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 2.0 xG, Juan Pablo II College 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 67%, draw 21%, Juan Pablo II College 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 2–0 Juan Pablo II College. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima67%fair 1.48 · @1.23
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @5.40
Juan Pablo II College11%fair 8.95 · @13.50
2.90Expected goals
2.04Alianza Lima xG
0.86Juan Pablo II College xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.0 – 0.9 Juan Pablo II College expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Attack vs Primera División average
+7%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
-31%
-11%
Our expected goals here
1.66
0.85
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alianza Lima to win✓
67%
1.48
1.23
Double chance
Alianza Lima or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Alianza Lima (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Lima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.22
First team to score
Alianza Lima to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Alianza Lima ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Alianza Lima – last 4
DWWD
15 Mar
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
1–1
D
10 Mar
vs FBC Melgar
3–1
W
21 Feb
vs Sport Boys
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Alianza Atletico
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Juan Pablo II College – last 2
WW
8 Mar
@ ADT
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Grau
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Lima and Juan Pablo II College.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juan Pablo II College 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–0 Juan Pablo II College, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College?
Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
