Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.23
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso travel to face Atletico Grau on Sunday 22 March in the Primera División, with Estadio Campeones del 36 the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Atletico Grau are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Atletico Grau, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FBC Melgar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alianza Lima, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Atletico Grau, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Grau 1.2 xG, Deportivo Garcilaso 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Grau 48%, draw 28%, Deportivo Garcilaso 24%.
Lower-risk option: Atletico Grau or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Grau or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Grau 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Grau48%fair 2.10 · @1.90
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
Deportivo Garcilaso24%fair 4.09 · @4.35
2.19Expected goals
1.23Atletico Grau xG
0.96Deportivo Garcilaso xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Grau 1.2 – 1.0 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Attack vs Primera División average
-16%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.25
1.26
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Grau to win
48%
2.10
1.90
Double chance
Atletico Grau or draw
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.57
Draw no bet
Atletico Grau (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Garcilaso +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.09
1.04
First team to score
Atletico Grau to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Grau / FT Atletico Grau
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.23
–
Recent results
Atletico Grau – last 5
DWLLL
15 Mar
@ FBC Melgar
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs FC Cajamarca
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Comerciantes Unidos
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Juan Pablo II College
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sport Boys
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 5
DLLLL
15 Mar
vs Alianza Lima
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Cusco
0–1
L
4 Mar
@ Alianza Atletico
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Cienciano
2–3
L
23 Feb
@ UCV Moquegua
0–1
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Grau and Deportivo Garcilaso.
What is the prediction for Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Atletico Grau or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Atletico Grau have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Garcilaso 24%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our predicted score is Atletico Grau 1–0 Deportivo Garcilaso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
