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Juan Pablo II College v UTC Cajamarca: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Municipal de la Juventud
Juan Pablo II College 50%Draw 23%UTC Cajamarca 26% Expected goals 1.97 – 1.07
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.38

8/10Rating
1.38Odds
1

Value bet: Juan Pablo II College to win @ 2.54 – our chance 50% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultJuan Pablo II College to win50% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.07

Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UTC Cajamarca travel to face Juan Pablo II College on Sunday 5 April in the Primera División, with Estadio Municipal de la Juventud the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; UTC Cajamarca are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juan Pablo II College, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alianza Lima, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

UTC Cajamarca, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Universitario, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Juan Pablo II College, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for UTC Cajamarca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 2.0 xG, UTC Cajamarca 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 50%, draw 23%, UTC Cajamarca 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Juan Pablo II College to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.34, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 1–1 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juan Pablo II College50%fair 1.98 · @2.54
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
UTC Cajamarca26%fair 3.84 · @2.82
3.04Expected goals
1.97Juan Pablo II College xG
1.07UTC Cajamarca xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 2.0 – 1.1 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Juan Pablo II CollegeUTC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average+10%-12%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+25%
Our expected goals here2.390.88

Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuan Pablo II College to win50%1.982.54 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.681.77 ▲
Draw no betJuan Pablo II College (draw no bet)66%1.52–
Asian handicapUTC Cajamarca +1.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.341.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.942.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals70%1.441.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals84%1.191.08
First team to scoreJuan Pablo II College to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultJuan Pablo II College ahead at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juan Pablo II College / FT Juan Pablo II College37%2.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.07–

Recent results

Juan Pablo II College – last 3

LWW
22 Mar@ Alianza Lima0–2L
8 Mar@ ADT3–2W
22 Feb@ Atletico Grau2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UTC Cajamarca – last 3

LDW
15 Mar@ Universitario0–2L
22 Feb@ ADT2–2D
13 Febvs Cusco1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juan Pablo II College and UTC Cajamarca.

Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca?

On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UTC Cajamarca 26%.

How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca?

Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 1–1 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca?

Juan Pablo II College vs UTC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de la Juventud.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.